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Argentina Election Race Close With Far-Right Libertarian Javier Milei In The Lead, Pollsters Say

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Prior to Argentina’s presidential vote on October 22, far-right libertarian Javier Milei is in the lead, but the contest between the top three contenders is still close, according to three polls.

Sergio Massa, the minister of the economy, came in second in all three polls, and Patricia Bullrich, the conservative opponent, came in third.

A runoff election is expected because none of the three candidates received enough votes to win the poll outright in two of the polls, which showed them all within a 10-point margin.

A candidate needs to receive 45% of the vote or more than 40% with a margin of victory over their nearest challenger of more than 10% in order to win the election outright.

According to an Opina Argentina poll, Milei, a political outsider and economist who shocked the establishment by defeating strong hitters in the August primaries with his radical plans, has between 34 and 35 percent of the vote this month. Bullrich has 24–25%, while Massa has 29–30%.

According to a Synopsis Consultores survey, Milei had 36.5%, Massa had 29.7%, and Bullrich had 23.8%.

“The outcome is open,” said Opina Argentina analyst Facundo Nejamkis.

Milei’s promises to dollarize the economy and shut down the central bank have won over some disillusioned voters in the midst of an economic crisis that has driven two in five people below the poverty line and seen annual inflation reach 138%.

“I voted for Milei in the PASO (primaries) and I am going to vote for him again. It is a change, someone has to remove the Kirchneristas (center-left Peronists),” said Gustavo Machado, a 40-year-old real estate broker from Buenos Aires.

Federico Aurelio, who runs consulting firm Aresco, said: “Milei will reach the runoff unless there is a political earthquake between now and Oct. 22.”

Bullrich would need to accomplish “something very special” to pass Massa, he continued.

Milei’s policies are far too radical for some folks.

Fruit vendor Nancy Moran, 58, stated that she would support Massa because, under Milei, “the peso will disappear.”

The majority of pollsters have not yet made predictions for a potential runoff on November 19, although Milei is generally thought to have the best chance of winning.

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